ANALISIS KEGUNAAN RASIO-RASIO KEUANGAN DALAM MEMPREDIKSI PERUBAHAN LABA (Studi Empiris : Pada Perusahaan Perbankan Yang Terdaftar Di BEI)

Abstract

ABSTRACT Financial statements users need financial information of companies to analyze their financial condition and performance. The study focuses on the usefulness of financial ratios in predicting future earnings. Finacial ratios (LDR, CR, NWC, QC, CAR, DR, DER, TIER, ROA, ROE, NPM, GPM, and ROOA) are useful measures for predicting the future earning changes. Earning changes on the banks is investor focus to know the performance firms. The investors doesn’t overview earnings not only one periode but also earning changes one year futur. The problem on this study is numerusly affect of financial ratios (LDR, CR, NWC, QC, CAR, DR, DER, TIER, ROA, ROE, NPM, GPM, dan ROOA) have ability for predicting earninf changes listed on the BEI. The aims on this study is to analyze affect of the finantial ratios (LDR, CR, NWC, QC, CAR, DR, DER, TIER, ROA, ROE, NPM, GPM, and ROOA) have ability for predicting earninf changes listed on the BEI. Population in this study were in financial firms listed on the BEI 2003-2006, totally 26 bank. The data is sampled using purposive sample on this research, whereever From 26 banks firms registered on BEI only 20 are used assamples for this study. There is 13 independent variables on this study, they are : LDR, CR, NWC, QC, CAR, DR, DER, TIER, ROA, ROE, NPM, GPM, and ROOA, earning changes is the dependent variables on this study. The analyze method usefully library and documentation. Analyze the data conduct by using classic asumtion, multiple linier regresion, and hyphotesis with SPSS programe. The empirically result showed that, LDR, CR, NWC, QC, CAR, DR, DER, TIER, ROA, ROE, NPM, GPM, and ROOA influences the earning changes for future one year 66,8% and other factor doesn’t examine in this study is 33,2%. Partially loan to deposit ratio, quick ratio, capital adequacy ratio, debt ratio, return on asset, return on equity, net profit margin, gross profit margin, return on operating assets that positive significantly affect for earning changes. While current ratio, net working capital, debt to equity ratio, dan time interest earned have negative significantly affect for earning changes. Keywords: Earning changes and financial ratios (LDR, CR, NWC, QC, CAR, DR, DER, TIER, ROA, ROE, NPM, GPM, dan ROOA)