ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI LAJU PERTUMBUHAN PENDUDUK KOTA SEMARANG TAHUN 2011 MENGGUNAKAN GEOGRAPHICALLY WEIGHTED LOGISTIC REGRESSION

Abstract

Geographically Weighted Logistic Regression (GWLR) is a local form of logistic regression where geographical factors considered and it is assumed that the Bernoulli distribution of data used to analyze spatial data from non-stationary processes. This research will determine the factors that affect the Population Growth Rate (PGR) in the Semarang city using logistic regression and GWLR with a weighting function of bisquare kernel and gaussian kernel. The result showed that GWLR model with a weighting function of bisquare kernel better than logistic regression model and GWLR model with a weighting function of gaussian kernel because it has the smallest AIC value and classification accuracy is 87,5%. Factor that have significant effect is the number of couples of childbearing age in the Semarang city. Keyword : PGR, Logistic Regression, GWLR, Bisquare Kernel, Gaussian Kernel, AIC