Penentuan Tren Arah Pergerakan Harga Saham dengan Menggunakan Moving Average Convergence Divergence (Studi Kasus Harga Saham pada 6 Anggota LQ 45)

Abstract

One of many examples of technical indicator that frequently used for stock price analysis is Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). MACD generates two signal called goldencross and deathcross are used to find the reversal momentum of stock price trend movement. Goldencross as a oversold point marker serves to give a buying signal. While, deathcross as a overbought point marker serves to give a selling signal. Research on six stocks member of LQ45 (ANTM, BWPT, MNCN, TINS, BJBR, and LPKR) during the period January 1 until October 31, 2012 managed to prove the accuracy of the signal formed by MACD signal. By applying the MACD Indicator consistently, investors can get a percentage of profit above the actual inflation rate in 2012 by Indonesian Bank. On these results, the goldencross and deathcross signal give a good performance as tool of technical analysis for determining the trend of the direction of stock price movements. Key words : Stock, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Goldencross, deathcross, LQ45, inflation, trend