KAUSALITAS PENERIMAAN, BELANJA DAN PDRB KABUPATEN/KOTA DI INDONESIA (Studi Kasus Periode 2001- 2008)

Abstract

Regional autonomy and fiscal decentralization has the objective to creating a local independence. Not all regions have the readiness the same in creating independence, due to the low revenues earned from the region itself (PAD). To overcome this problem, the central government to provide equalization funds / funds transfer to local governments that are meant to spur the growth of output region (GDP). Fund balance of the central government largely made up of fund allocation and revenue-sharing. The purpose of this study is whether there is causality in components of variable revenue, expenditure and GDP in districts throughout Indonesia. In this study also discusses the nature The third relationship variable, whether direct, reciprocal or not there causality at all. This research was conducted by Granger causality test method is processed use analysis tools Eviews 6.0. results showed that going two-way relationship between the variables acceptance of shopping and going one-way causality relationship between variables expenditure on GDP, but on variables acceptance of GDP did not happen causality. Proven two-way causality relationship between the acceptance of spending indicate that local spending is highly dependent on the size acceptance area, in this case is the Fund Allocation, or vice versa, the amount of funds The allocation can be predicted by the large budgets programmed by the local government. The existence of one-way relationship between spending of GDP indicates that increased government spending will stimulate increase in GDP, but GDP is not necessarily increasing spending area. The absence of causality between the acceptance of GDP shown in the variable DBH. This means that local governments very hung reception area of ​​fund balance and equalization funds are less responsive in increasing GDP.