PEMODELAN DERET WAKTU MENGGUNAKAN TEKNIK EXPONENSIAL SMOOTHING UNTUK PERAMALAN DEBIT ALIRAN SUNGAI (Studi Kasus Sungai Cabenge SWS WalanaE - CenranaE)

Lukman, Melly and Susanto, Eko (2007) PEMODELAN DERET WAKTU MENGGUNAKAN TEKNIK EXPONENSIAL SMOOTHING UNTUK PERAMALAN DEBIT ALIRAN SUNGAI (Studi Kasus Sungai Cabenge SWS WalanaE - CenranaE). PEMODELAN DERET WAKTU MENGGUNAKAN TEKNIK EXPONENSIAL SMOOTHING UNTUK PERAMALAN DEBIT ALIRAN SUNGAI (Studi Kasus Sungai Cabenge SWS WalanaE - CenranaE) . pp. 1-11.

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Abstract

Exponential Smoothing Method is one of the time series modelling method which is using to predict the floods . These method is very important in hydrologic engineering especially to know the trend and to predic the discharge of a river in the future . In this study the authors have been using 4 ( four ) Exponential Smoothing Methods which are; Single Exponential Smoothing, Double Exponential Smoothing, Triple Exponential Smoothing (Winters), and ARIMA to predict the discharge of Cabenge river in WalanaE-CendranaE River basin.. The result of this study shows that from the 4 Exponential Smoothing methods ofwhich have been applied , the Triple Exponential Smoothing (Winters) more suitable to predict the discharge in the study area. Keywords : Modelling, Time Series, Discharge prediction

Item Type:Article
Subjects:T Technology > TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Divisions:Faculty of Engineering > Department of Civil Engineering
Faculty of Engineering > Department of Civil Engineering
ID Code:25105
Deposited By:Mr Adi Widayat
Deposited On:03 Jan 2011 08:27
Last Modified:03 Jan 2011 08:29

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